5-Day U.S. Market Forecast
Indexes Tue.Wed.Thu.Fri.Mon.
S&P 500
^gspc 1649.60
-.70%
1638.13
-1.39%
1626.67
-1.98%
1616.89
-1.67%
1622.04
-1.66%
1622.14
NASDAQ
^ixic 3459.14
-.33%
3447.88
.07%
3461.41
-1.87%
3394.35
-2.16%
3384.31
-2.26%
3381.05
VIX
^vix 13.99
-2.35%
13.66
.31%
14.03
-2.24%
13.68
-.22%
13.96
-3.38%
13.52
Russell 2000
^rut 984.28
.37%
987.94
-1.06%
973.86
.29%
987.14
-1.59%
968.63
-3.33%
951.46
Based on data collected as of the close.
Commodities Tue.Wed.Thu.Fri.Mon.
Gold
gcm13.cmx 1385.50
1.49%
1406.18
-.53%
1378.17
-2.51%
1350.66
-2.91%
1345.13
-1.23%
1368.40
Copper
hgm13.cmx 3.29
-.58%
3.27
-.98%
3.26
-1.97%
3.23
-.70%
3.27
3.24%
3.40
Oil
clm13.nym 96.05
-.25%
95.81
-.85%
95.24
-.82%
95.26
-1.92%
94.21
-2.12%
94.01
Natural Gas
ngm13.nym 4.22
.03%
4.22
-1.75%
4.15
-.30%
4.21
-1.11%
4.17
-2.90%
4.10
Based on data collected as of the close.
Industries Tue.Wed.Thu.Fri.Mon.
Real Estate
iyr 72.36
.10%
72.43
-1.14%
71.54
-2.36%
70.65
-2.18%
70.79
-3.00%
70.19
Finance
xlf 19.73
.26%
19.78
-.27%
19.68
-2.39%
19.26
-2.33%
19.27
-3.45%
19.05
Technology
xlk 31.69
.05%
31.71
-.60%
31.50
-3.23%
30.67
-1.15%
31.33
-3.53%
30.57
Based on data collected as of the close.

How It Works

These are Gaussian matrix elimination models.

This model uses the stocks from the S & P 500 with 5 highest correlating price changes. We also test periods of the stocks' prices changes with a similar price pattern that matches the periods price pattern of the symbol, the one being modeled, and give more weight to these matching pattern-models over the population of all patterns. Using the submodels that provide the closest (read best) we test for best historical performance. Historical performance is based on the 10 best submodels; best meaning they generate numbers that when tested are closest to the previous day's actual price change of each particular date range .

The model uses the 10 top closest combinatorial results from previous period.

The top and bottom results of the 10 are dropped and the average of the remaining 8 is used to calculate the future price change.

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An Overview of Stock, ETF, Commodity and Market Timing Blogs, Web Sites and Other Resources

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“Continuing In The Same Vein, How About A SECULAR Top?” — HighRev's Open HouseHighRev's Open House
“EUR/USD is still caught in the near term consolidation zone between 1.2840 area lows and the 1.3000 area range resistance.” — Forex Trading BlogForex Trading Blog
“S&P 500 Weekend update” — Nifty charts and latest market updatesNifty charts and latest market updates
“Weekend update - US weekly indexes” — Permabear DoomsterPermabear Doomster
“Chart Structure Is Improving In The Energy Sector” — Inside Futures

“Weekend Sector Scan” — Bear Mountain Bull
“Applying a Cycle Ruler to the SPY Daily Chart” — Heads Up Investing
“Elliott Wave Analysis for major Currency pairs: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, AUD/USD” — Elliott and Fibonacci Patterns
“Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: What Next?” — Marc To Market
“Does This Pullback Have Legs?” — The Slippery Slope Investment and Chuckle ForumThe Slippery Slope Investment and Chuckle Forum
“All my indicators tell me we are due for at least a weekly pullback, just how deep the slide will be can not be guessed with any degree of certainty. We will be buying $UVXY, a leveraged volatility etf, as a hedged against any market decline.” — standard_and_poor
“Another close under the TA” — Trending WavesTrending Waves
“Trading Tuesday: Dow Higher” — Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
“US market portrait 2013 week 21” — Portfolio ProbePortfolio Probe
“Bears Pass Bulls Heading Into The Weekend” — Ulli... The ETF Bully
“Market's Bill of Health - Short Term Reversal; Intermediate and Long Term Outlook Still Bullish” — Financial SenseFinancial Sense
“The price direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU, DIA) currently trading at 15,303.10 is neutral.” — Price Trend Trading
“The 80 / 20 Rule to Help Avoid Stop Outs” — Video — Trader Kingdom
“VIX Traders Are NOT Impressed” — Option PitOption Pit
“Introducing the Trade for Profit 'PCR strategy' . The pink, cyan & red are revealed.” — Hedge->According.lyHedge->According.ly
“Gold offers opportunities” — De Kritische Belegger<Dutch>The Critical InvestorDe Kritische Belegger<Dutch>The Critical Investor
“Declines of 30% to 60% have taken place EVERY TIME here for 20-years!” — Kimble Charting SolutionsKimble Charting Solutions
“SPX” — Rational InsolvencyRational Insolvency
“Still a little early to tell but futures is most likely indicating a break down out of the rising wedge.” — Wave PrincipleWave Principle
“Fidelity Sector Funds Rankings Displaying Odd Mix” — WoodShedder
“Daily Forecast For EURUSD” — Harmonic Elliott Wave
“S&P Elliott wave analysis” — Trading2day - Profitable risk taking
“HPQ Soars, TSLA, DLTR Up, IWM, SPY and More Form Bull Flag...SHLD, CRM Crushed After-hours...” — Dave Johnson Chart Signals
“USDJPY Update…” — 50's Blog
“Marketview: Momentum Ball” — Dynamic HedgeDynamic Hedge
“Is a two-day market decline all that important?” — StreetSmartPostStreetSmartPost
“S&P 500 - 20 Year Study of Buy and Sell Signals” — The TSI TraderThe TSI Trader

“SPX” — ChartRamblingsChartRamblings
“Want High Performance In Bull Markets Plus Safety In Bear Markets? Sector Fund Timing May Be Just For You” — FibTimer
“EUR/USD H4,Daily and Weekly Update” — Video — Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex BlogElliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog
“Long Term: Bull Market” — the ELLIOTT WAVE lives onthe ELLIOTT WAVE lives on
“In the short term, it appears that wave [b] or [x] of A of (4) is underway. The waves following the last all-time high do not look particularly clear, but considering all the options, the short term wave structure still suggests lower prices in the days ahead.” — Nate's Market AnalysisNate's Market Analysis
“Elliott wave analysis on Facebook” — The Elliott Wave SurferThe Elliott Wave Surfer
“With the S&P 500, you can see the past two days there have been buyers at the spot where the index broke out from in early May out of a bull flag - old resistance can turn into new support so that is the case.” — Stock Trading To GoStock Trading To Go
“How Is This Market Like the Tech Bubble? Margin Debt.” — See It MarketSee It Market
“SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts” — Jesse's Cafe AmericainJesse's Cafe Americain
“Greed achieves new all-time high” — Triangle Wealth ManagementTriangle Wealth Management
“Get Ready To Buy Calls. This Dip Won’t Last More Than A Few Days.” — 1 Option Trading1 Option Trading
“June S&P E-mini Futures: Today’s range estimate is 1626-1646. I think the 1574-1587 zone defined by the 2000 and 2007 bull market tops is now support.” — Carl Futia
“SPY Closes At A 5-Day Low For The 1st Time In A Long Time” — Quantifiable Edges
“The bounce many of the manhandled leftover bulls have been waiting for did not materialize, overnight equity futures have degraded back to the lower 100-hour BB mark, which is now sloping downwards. I think there is a soft chance for a bounce here but the odds aren’t great as I don’t see any prospective technical support. At any rate I wouldn’t bother being involved ahead of the long weekend.” — Evil.SpeculatorEvil.Speculator
“Calculating VIX—the Easy Part” — Six Figure Investing
“Giving the bulls the benefit of the doubt” — Humble Student of the Markets
“Best Brokerage Accounts for Dividend Investors” — Dividend Growth Investor
“State Of The Markets” — SolarCycles
“Market breadth was Negative on Thursday. However, Bullish exposure is maintained.” — TimelySetup
“FTSE 100 Key Levels” — Better Trader
“Thursday’s post had some S&P 500 (SPX) downside targets, most notably the SPX 1590-1600 area. Since the current assesement is for further downside, the chart above has some retracement areas where bears can re-short.” — Trade Trekker
“Australia: Ford is the tip of the crisis” — Gold Stocks & Forex
“14 Day Minimal Volume Trend Supports Red Reversal Concept” — Stock TrenderStock Trender
“Weekly Market Commentary: (Another) Reversal From 52-Week Highs” — Fallond Stock PicksFallond Stock Picks
“How Much Damage To Bullish Stock Trends?” — Video — Short Takes
“Could Stocks, Bonds and Housing Decline Together?” — Elliott Wave Market Service
“SPX:VIX Ratio -- Where's the Exuberance?” — Strawberry Blonde's Market SummaryStrawberry Blonde's Market Summary
“Down on Copper” — COTs Timer
“Dashboard Declines One Notch to '3' BUY Signal” — Buy - Don't HoldBuy - Don't Hold
“Short Term Model For Real Estate Goes Bearish.” — Aggregating For Expectations
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“Magnificent Saturday Shorts” — Video — Slope Of Hope
“SPX Support, Resistance (S/R) and Moving Averages” — The Keystone Speculator
“Best Stock Market Indicator Ever: Slips to 95%; Secondaries Confirm ’Tradable’” — Advisor PerspectivesAdvisor Perspectives
“A few stocks to watch next week: BBRY, FB, LULU, MRCY, VHC, VVUS” — AC Investor BlogAC Investor Blog
“Slightly down” — Stock Market Trading DemystifiedStock Market Trading Demystified
“Sometimes I wish there was something besides pivot points to talk about on Fridays, but it os pretty obvious that the story of the day is just that. For the 3rd time this year, the monthly R2 pivot point did not stop the advance of the market (in fact, this month it didn'e even slow it down), but now it appears to be support. That means, with 4 days left in the month, we are probably unlikely to go below R2, and even if we do, there is another pivot point right below it. Chances are we will start bouncing up from here.” — Samurai TraderSamurai Trader
“As you can see I see the potential for this past week's high to be a major top. Some aspects of the recent price action look like capitulation but neither the volume nor the severity of the decline have me convinced.” — Stock GeometryStock Geometry
“Sector and Capitalization Performance” — Systematic Relative Strength
“A Rare 3-Day Losing Streak?” — In The Money
“Sell In May And Go Away” — INO.com Traders Blog
“SPX Update: Short and Sweet...” — Pretzel Logic's Market Charts and AnalysisPretzel Logic's Market Charts and Analysis
“Durable Goods Orders increased 3.3% in April” — Calculated Risk
“QE Synaesthesia” — Channel and PatternsChannel and Patterns
“GMI and GMI-2 decline to 5, up-trend intact” — Wishing Wealth Blog
“Three Fan Lines Take Shape on the Spot Light Crude Chart” — StockCharts.com - BlogsStockCharts.com - Blogs
“Stay Focused And Not To Fall In Love With The Down Side” — Video — Short Term Trading Live With Oscar
“The SPX gapped down at the open to complete a 5-wave decline on the hourly - this suggests at least another leg down after the corrective bounce that started today runs its course. An early bounce on Friday should be shorted for another impulse leg down.” — All Star Market Timing
“Short term momentum indicators for broadly based U.S. equity indices are rolling over from overbought levels: Stochastics are dropping below 80%, RSI is falling below 70% and MACD is at or near a negative cross above the zero line:” — Timing The Market
“A Lesson on How a Failed Trade Can Forecast an Intraday Reversal” — Afraid to Trade
“Volatility is Smiling” — Pragmatic Capitalism
1 Option Trading
50's Blog
AC Investor Blog
Advisor Perspectives
Afraid to Trade
Aggregating For Expectations
All Star Market Timing
Bear Mountain Bull
Better Trader
Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
Buy - Don't Hold
Calculated Risk
Carl Futia
Channel and Patterns
ChartRamblings
COTs Timer
Dave Johnson Chart Signals
De Kritische Belegger<Dutch>The Critical Investor
Dividend Growth Investor
Dynamic Hedge
Elliott and Fibonacci Patterns
Elliott Wave Market Service
Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog
Evil.Speculator
Fallond Stock Picks
FibTimer
Financial Sense
Forex Trading Blog
Gold Stocks & Forex
Harmonic Elliott Wave
Heads Up Investing
Hedge->According.ly
HighRev's Open House
Humble Student of the Markets
In The Money
INO.com Traders Blog
Inside Futures
Jesse's Cafe Americain
Kimble Charting Solutions
Marc To Market
Nate's Market Analysis
Nifty charts and latest market updates
Option Pit
Permabear Doomster
Portfolio Probe
Pragmatic Capitalism
Pretzel Logic's Market Charts and Analysis
Price Trend Trading
Quantifiable Edges
Rational Insolvency
Samurai Trader
See It Market
Short Takes
Short Term Trading Live With Oscar
Six Figure Investing
Slope Of Hope
SolarCycles
standard_and_poor
Stock Geometry
Stock Market Trading Demystified
Stock Trading To Go
Stock Trender
StockCharts.com - Blogs
Strawberry Blonde's Market Summary
StreetSmartPost
Systematic Relative Strength
the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on
The Elliott Wave Surfer
The Keystone Speculator
The Slippery Slope Investment and Chuckle Forum
The TSI Trader
TimelySetup
Timing The Market
Trade Trekker
Trader Kingdom
Trading2day - Profitable risk taking
Trending Waves
Triangle Wealth Management
Ulli... The ETF Bully
Wave Principle
Wishing Wealth Blog
WoodShedder
1nvestor
5 Waves
A Dash Of Insight
A Trader Journal
Abnormal Returns
Albertarocks' TA Discussions
Alpha Global Investors
Astrological Investing Blog
Biiwii
Blue Chip Bull Dog
Break Point Trades
Business & Finance News - Yahoo! Finance
Buy on Strength
Chart Learning
Chart Swing Trader
Chartlines
Collin Twiggs Trading Diary
Compare Broker
Condor Options
Crossing Wall Street
CXO Advisory Group
Cyclical Market Analysis
Daneric's Elliott Waves
Dave's ETF RoundUp
Denaliguide's Summit
Don't Fear the Bear
Elliott Wave Predictions
ETF Prophet
Factor
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Falkenblog
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Finance Clippings
Finance Trends Matter
ft.com/alphaville
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
FXTechnicals.net
GestaltU
Goldie's Paper Chase
Hard assets for eternal value
Hard Right Edge
Hawaii Trading
High Frequency Trading Review
Humble Pattern & Chart Analysis
Ian Woodward's Investing Blog
Index Swing Trading
Inthemoneystocks's Blog
Investor's Watchdog
Jim Rogers Blog
Kep-It-Simple
Keybot the Quant
Market Anthropology
Market Jyotish
Market Letters
Market Montage
Market Technical View
Market Thoughts and Analysis
Market Timing Update
MarketSci
MarketWatch.com - MarketPulse
McClellan Financial Publications
Money Manthan
Morpheus Trading Group
Mr. Swing Articles
Mr. Top Step
My Squiggly Lines
My Trade Tablet - Fuinhaz' Blog
mybestfunds.com
Objective Trader
Of Two Minds
Option Trading Signal
Optionetics
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pebblewriter
Piker Trader
Profitable Trading For People With A Full Time Job
Quantified Strategies
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Random Roger
Reading The Market
RightSideOfTheChart.com
S2 Trading
Shanky's Technical Analysis and Market Commentary
Smart Money Tracker
SMB Training
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Stoch Trader
Stock Bee
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Stock Option Assassin
Stock Trader's Almanac
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Sun and Storm Investing Market Timing Blog
Surly Trader
Swing Trade cycles
Systematic Investor
Technical Traders Ltd.
Technically Speaking Market Analysis and Theory
Terry's Tips
The Art of Trading
The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
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The Complete Coverage Report
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the research puzzle
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toddstrade
Trade Ideas
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TradeStreet
TradingFives
Trendsby3
TrendXplorer
Unbiased Forex and Equity Swing Trades
View On Markets
VIX and More
Wavaholic
Welcome, We Are Going To Act On The Show!<Dutch>
World Beta
World of Finance
WSJ.com: Markets
Zen Trader

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