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5-Day U.S. Market Forecast
And Sector Analysis
Current Price
Data as of
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[No canvas support]
SectorCallCall Date
Health CareBearish2014-12-11
Consumer CyclicalBullish2014-12-10
Consumer StaplesBullish2014-10-09
Based on Relative Price Change, RSI and MACD

How It Works

These are Gaussian matrix elimination models.

This model uses the stocks from the S & P 500. I create three groups of 5 stocks from 15 highest correlating stocks for each symbol forecasted. I build "submodels" based on periods of the stocks' price changes with a similar price pattern that matches the symbols' changes (something similar to a Baysian condition). I call these patterns "Fingerprints." So if the correlating symbols all are positive then the fingerprint is "+++++". Using the submodels that provide the closest (read best) there is a test for best historical performance. Historical performance is based on the up to 10 best submodels; best meaning they generate price changes that are closest to the historical day's price change of the current date range of 1 1/2 years.

From each of the 3 groups the model uses (up to) 10 resulting vector with the previous day's price. Or if the application is run during the day the current price.

Finally two numbers are displayed for each future date:

  • a simple average of the 3 results is computed.
  • the median number from the list of calculated 30 numbers.

If no matching fingerprint submodels are available then all submodels from all 3 groups are used, calculated, totaled and the average is computed. The average is then used as the predicted price change.

Sector Analysis

The output for this page is generated by a combination of three analogs: PCTP (Price Change Tipping Point), RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). All 3 use an optimized cross-over value.

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Sites Used With This Report

50 Pips FX
AC Investor Blog
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Dana Lyons' Tumblr
Daneric's Elliott Waves
Dave Johnson Chart Signals
Harmonic Elliott Wave
Harmonics Tube
Humble Student of the Markets
Jesse's Cafe Americain
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★★Permabear Doomster★★
Price Action Lab Blog
Schaeffer's Investment Research
★★SPX CIT Dates★★
Stock Trading To Go
★★Trader Moe★★
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Wave Principle

This Month's Top 10 Viewed Site:★★
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Advisor Perspectives
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All Star Charts
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Andrew Thrasher
Astro Technicals
Astrological Investing Blog
Better Trader
Break Point Trades
Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
Business & Finance News - Yahoo! Finance
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CXO Advisory Group
Cyclical Market Analysis
Daily FX
Day Trading Blog
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Denaliguide's Summit
Dividend Growth Investor
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Dr. Ed's Blog
Dynamic Hedge
Elliott and Fibonacci Patterns
Elliott Wave India
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Elliott Wave Predictions
EWM Interactive
Fair Value Stocks
Fallond Stock Picks
Financial Sense
Flirting with Models
Forex Crunch
Futures Trading 911
Gold Stocks & Forex
Golden Opportunity Trading
Hard Assets Investor - Common Sense on Commodities
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High Frequency Trading Review
How I Day Trade
Ian Woodward's Investing Blog Traders Blog
Inside Futures
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Stock Market Commentary
Stock Trader's Almanac - Blogs
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Streettalk Daily X-Change
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Technically Speaking Market Analysis and Theory
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Trader Kingdom
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Wishing Wealth Blog
World Beta Markets
Z's free Stock Market Advice Site
Zen Trader
Zor Trades

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